VMR Kerala Pre-poll Survey on Manorama News

The Left Democratic Front (LDF) has a clear edge over the United Democratic Front (UDF) in winning the upcoming Assembly elections in Kerala, Manorama News-VMR pre-poll survey predicted. Out of the 140 constituencies in Kerala, the survey predicted 82 seats for the LDF, 54 for UDF and 3 for the NDA while one seat is to be won by the independent candidate PC George.

Since some of the constituencies where a tightly fought one with only slight percentage differences, the Manorama News-VMR projections for the final election results are:

LDF- 77 – 82 seats (vote share: 43.65%)
UDF- 54 – 59 seats (vote share: 37.37%)
NDA- 0 – 3 seats (vote share: 16.46%)
OTH- 0 – 1 seats (vote share: 2.52%)

According to the survey, Pinarayi Vijayan was seen as most suited to be the Chief Minister of leading with 39%, followed by Oommen Chandy with 26%. They were followed by KK Shailaja (12%), Ramesh Chennithala (11%), K Surendran (5%) and V Muraleedharan (3%).

Biggest pre-poll survey

The survey, which was conducted between February 15 and March 15 among 27,000 voters across the state. The four-part series – the biggest pre-poll survey in the state – predict probable winners of all the 140 seats in the assembly. The survey also reveals the likely state-level vote share of the fronts and the candidate most suited to be the CM apart from the winner in all constituencies.

The VMR co-founder Jai Mrug maintained that the survey was an adventurous task as it had to send its teams across all the constituencies in the time of COVID-19.

Watch all four days telecast where you can get detail analysis and insights

The ruling Left Democratic Front (LDF) is likely to win 27 out of the 32 constituencies in Kasaragod, Kannur, Wayanad and Kozhikode districts, the Manorama News-VMR Kerala Assembly pre-poll survey has predicted. The survey predicts a tight contest in four constituencies – Thrikkaripur in Kasaragod, Irikkur in in Kannur, Kozhikode North and Koduvally seats in Kozhikode district.
The United Democratic Front (UDF) has a clear edge in central Kerala in the upcoming assembly polls with the Manorama News-VMR pre-poll survey predicting their win in 32 out of the 46 seats in Malappuram, Palakkad, Thrissur and Idukki districts. The ruling Left Democratic Front (LDF) is likely to win 14 seats. Despite fielding popular candidates, the National Democratic Front (NDA) will be unable to distress the leading fronts in these districts.
KC(M)’s entry boosts LDF’s prospects in central Kerala. In the third of the four-part series survey results, the LDF is making significant gains in Pathanamthitta, Kottayam and Ernakulam, though it faces a stiff contest from the UDF in Alappuzha. LDF is expected to win 22 seats followed by UDF in 14, across the four districts.
The fourth and final part of the survey looked into the 25 constituencies in Kollam and Thiruvananthapuram districts. The LDF is likely to get 12 out of the 14 constituencies in Thiruvananthapuram district. The NDA may get two, leaving nothing for the UDF. The LDF is likely to bag 7 out of 11 constituencies in Kollam district. UDF would be able to secure 4.

Manorama News-VMR pre-poll survey: LDF set to retain power, Pinarayi most suited to be CM. Read more at: https://www.onmanorama.com/kerala/top-news/2021/03/24/kerala-election-news-manorama-news-vmr-pre-poll-survey-final-part.html

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